\u0643\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0644 \u0631\u064a\u0627\u0636\u064a \u0623\u0633\u062a\u0647\u062f\u0641 \u062c\u0645\u0647\u0648\u0631 \u0645\u0635\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u062f\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u063a\u0631\u0628\u060c \u0646\u0642\u062f\u0645 \u0631\u0623\u064a\u0627\u064b \u0639\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0627\u064b \u062d\u0648\u0644 \u0643\u064a\u0641\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0645\u0639 \u0645\u0646\u0635\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0647\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0639\u0628\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0631\u0646\u062a \u0648\u0637\u0631\u0642 \u062a\u062d\u0645\u064a\u0644 parimatch<\/a> \u0628\u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0645\u0633\u0624\u0648\u0644\u0629. \u0633\u0646\u0631\u0628\u0637 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621\u0627\u062a\u060c \u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u060c \u0648\u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0644\u0646\u0645\u0646\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639\u064a\u0646 \u0623\u062f\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629.<\/p>\n \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0645\u064a \u0644\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0628\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0627\u062a \u064a\u0639\u062a\u0645\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0631\u064a\u0627\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0628\u0648\u064a\u0633\u0648\u0646 \u0644\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0647\u062f\u0627\u0641 \u0648\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u062f\u064a\u0643\u0633\u0648\u0646 \u0648\u0643\u0648\u0644\u0632 (Dixon & Coles, 1997) \u0644\u062a\u0639\u062f\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0639\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646\u064a\u0629. \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u062a\u0642\u064a\u0633 \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0647\u062f\u0627\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629 (xG) \u0644\u0643\u0644 \u0641\u0631\u064a\u0642 \u0648\u062a\u062d\u0648\u0651\u0644\u0647\u0627 \u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0633\u0648\u0642\u064a\u0629.<\/p>\n \u0645\u0628\u062f\u0623 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629 (EV) \u0648\u0645\u0628\u062f\u0623 \u0643\u064a\u0644\u064a (Kelly Criterion) \u0647\u0645\u0627 \u0623\u062f\u0627\u0629 \u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633 \u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0647\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u062b\u0644. \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0633\u0628\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062b\u0627\u0644\u060c \u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0648\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0629 60% \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0643\u0648\u0651\u0641 (odd) \u064a\u0639\u0637\u064a 2.0 \u0641\u0625\u0646 EV \u0625\u064a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u064a \u0648\u064a\u0633\u062a\u062f\u0639\u064a \u0631\u0647\u0627\u0646\u0627\u064b \u0645\u062d\u062f\u0648\u062f\u0627\u064b \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0631\u0635\u064a\u062f\u0643 \u0648\u0641\u0642 \u0643\u064a\u0644\u064a \u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0641\u0644\u0627\u0633.<\/p>\n \u0646\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0623\u0645\u062b\u0644\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0646\u062c\u0648\u0645 \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0645\u062d\u0645\u062f \u0635\u0644\u0627\u062d (\u0645\u0635\u0631) \u0648\u062d\u0643\u064a\u0645 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u0634 (\u0627\u0644\u0645\u063a\u0631\u0628) \u0648\u064a\u0648\u0633\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0635\u064a\u0631\u064a \u0644\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0646\u062c\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u062c\u0648\u0645 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0633\u062c\u064a\u0644. \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0633\u0628\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062b\u0627\u0644\u060c \u0639\u0646\u062f\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0644\u0639\u0628 \u0635\u0644\u0627\u062d \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0641\u0636\u0644 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u0647 \u062a\u0636\u0637\u0631 \u062f\u0641\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0635\u0645 \u0644\u062a\u063a\u064a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u0643\u064a\u0632\u060c \u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0632\u064a\u062f \u0641\u0631\u0635 \u0631\u0643\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u0627\u0621 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0633\u0645\u0629\u2014\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u0639\u0646\u062f \u062a\u0633\u0639\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0648\u0627\u0642 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0647\u062f\u0627\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u062f\u064a\u0629.<\/p>\n \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u062a\u0634\u0645\u0644: \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0647\u0646\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 (Value Betting)\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0647\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0628\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 xG \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0628\u0627\u0634\u0631\u060c \u0648\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0648\u0637 (Hedging) \u0644\u062a\u0623\u0645\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u0628\u0627\u062d \u0639\u0646\u062f \u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642. \u064a\u062c\u0628 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0642\u0648\u0627\u0639\u062f \u0635\u0627\u0631\u0645\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062e\u0631\u0648\u062c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0628\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0647\u062f\u0641 \u0648\u0646\u0633\u0628 \u062e\u0633\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0623\u0642\u0635\u0627\u0647\u0627 \u062a\u062d\u062f\u062f \u0645\u0633\u0628\u0642\u0627\u064b.<\/p>\n \u0628\u0639\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u0648\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u064a\u0627\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u064a\u0631 \u062a\u064f\u0638\u0647\u0631 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a xG \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0640 expected assists \u0644\u0634\u0631\u062d \u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a\u0647\u0645. \u0645\u062f\u0648\u0646\u0648\u0646 \u0648\u0646\u0627\u0634\u0631\u0648 \u0645\u062d\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0639\u0631\u0628 \u0648\u0623\u062c\u0627\u0646\u0628 \u0643\u062b\u0631 \u064a\u0646\u0627\u0642\u0634\u0648\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062f\u0648\u0627\u062a\u060c \u0648\u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0645\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639\u062a\u0647\u0645 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0641\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0631\u0624\u0649 \u062a\u0643\u062a\u064a\u0643\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0646\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u062d\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0627\u0639\u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0642.<\/p>\n \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0647\u0646\u0627\u062a \u062a\u062a\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0646\u0636\u0628\u0627\u0637\u0627\u064b \u0642\u0627\u0646\u0648\u0646\u064a\u0627\u064b \u0648\u0645\u0633\u0624\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629. \u0631\u0627\u062c\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0634\u0631\u064a\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0645\u0635\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u062f\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u063a\u0631\u0628\u060c \u0648\u0627\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0639 \u0645\u0628\u0627\u062f\u0626 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0639\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u0624\u0648\u0644 \u0648\u062a\u0642\u0633\u064a\u0645 \u0631\u0623\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0648\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0647\u0646\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0648\u064a\u0636 \u0639\u0646 \u062e\u0633\u0627\u0626\u0631 \u0633\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629.<\/p>\n \u0644\u0644\u0645\u0632\u064a\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0644\u0641\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0643\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0631\u0627\u062c\u0639 \u0623\u0648\u0631\u0627\u0642 \u0645\u062b\u0644 Dixon & Coles 1997 \u062d\u0648\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0630\u062c\u0629 \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0628\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0627\u062a\u060c \u0648\u0645\u0628\u0627\u062f\u0626 Kelly 1956 \u0644\u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0647\u0627\u0646. \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u062a\u0648\u0641\u0631 \u0645\u0624\u0633\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0631\u064a\u0627\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0631\u0633\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u062c\u0648\u0639 \u0625\u0644\u064a\u0647\u0627 \u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c\u060c \u0645\u062b\u0627\u0644 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0645\u0648\u0642\u0639 FIFA<\/a> \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u0642\u062f\u0645 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0645\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0631\u0633\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0644\u0627\u0639\u0628\u064a\u0646.<\/p>\n \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062f\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u064a\u0627\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644\u064a\u0629\u060c \u064a\u0635\u0628\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0647\u0646\u0629 \u0642\u0627\u0626\u0645\u0627\u064b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0645\u062f\u0631\u0648\u0633\u0629\u060c \u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0632\u064a\u062f \u0641\u0631\u0635 \u062a\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642 \u0639\u0648\u0627\u0626\u062f \u0645\u0633\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0645\u0629 \u0648\u064a\u0642\u0644\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u0639\u0646\u0635\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0634\u0648\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" \u0645\u0642\u062f\u0645\u0629 \u0643\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0644 \u0648\u0645\u064f\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0626 \u0631\u064a\u0627\u0636\u064a \u0643\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0644 \u0631\u064a\u0627\u0636\u064a \u0623\u0633\u062a\u0647\u062f\u0641 \u062c\u0645\u0647\u0648\u0631 \u0645\u0635\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u062f\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u063a\u0631\u0628\u060c \u0646\u0642\u062f\u0645 \u0631\u0623\u064a\u0627\u064b \u0639\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0627\u064b \u062d\u0648\u0644 \u0643\u064a\u0641\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0645\u0639 \u0645\u0646\u0635\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0647\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0639\u0628\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0631\u0646\u062a \u0648\u0637\u0631\u0642 \u062a\u062d\u0645\u064a\u0644 parimatch \u0628\u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0645\u0633\u0624\u0648\u0644\u0629. \u0633\u0646\u0631\u0628\u0637 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621\u0627\u062a\u060c \u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u060c \u0648\u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0644\u0646\u0645\u0646\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639\u064a\u0646 \u0623\u062f\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629. \u0645\u0628\u0627\u062f\u0626 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0645\u064a \u0644\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0628\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0627\u062a \u064a\u0639\u062a\u0645\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0631\u064a\u0627\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0628\u0648\u064a\u0633\u0648\u0646 \u0644\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-35150","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/develop.aiodevstaging.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35150","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/develop.aiodevstaging.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/develop.aiodevstaging.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/develop.aiodevstaging.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/develop.aiodevstaging.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=35150"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/develop.aiodevstaging.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35150\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":35151,"href":"https:\/\/develop.aiodevstaging.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35150\/revisions\/35151"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/develop.aiodevstaging.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=35150"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/develop.aiodevstaging.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=35150"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/develop.aiodevstaging.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=35150"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}\u0645\u0628\u0627\u062f\u0626 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639<\/h3>\n<\/p>\n
\u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629 \u0648\u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0631\u0623\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644<\/h3>\n<\/p>\n
\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0645\u0624\u062b\u0631\u0629 \u064a\u062c\u0628 \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644\u0647\u0627<\/h3>\n<\/p>\n
\n
\u0623\u0645\u062b\u0644\u0629 \u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0644\u0627\u0639\u0650\u0628\u0648\u0646 \u0639\u0631\u0628 \u0628\u0627\u0631\u0632\u0648\u0646<\/h3>\n<\/p>\n
\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0631\u0627\u0647\u0646\u0629 \u0645\u062a\u0642\u062f\u0645\u0629<\/h3>\n<\/p>\n
\u0623\u0645\u062b\u0644\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u064a\u0631 \u0648\u0645\u0624\u062b\u0651\u0631\u064a\u0646<\/h3>\n<\/p>\n
\u0642\u0648\u0627\u0639\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0645\u062a\u062b\u0627\u0644 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u0624\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629<\/h3>\n<\/p>\n
\u0645\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0645\u0647\u0646\u064a\u0629<\/h3>\n<\/p>\n
\u0642\u0627\u0626\u0645\u0629 \u062a\u062d\u0642\u0642 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0647\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u062a\u0631\u0641<\/h3>\n<\/p>\n
\n